Finals

Boys' Results here. Team Scores here.
Girls' Results here. Team Scores here.
Boys' All-State (based off power points):

1st Team All State
Name	School	Event #1	Points #1	Event #2	Points #2	Total
Tanner Kurz	Delaware Militar	50 Free	155	100 Back	150	305
Clifton Gordon	Salesianum	200 Free	138	100 Fly	155	293
Eric Materniak	Tatnall	200 IM	145	100 Breast	140	285
Tommy McKee	Brandywine	200 Free	141	100 Free	132	273
Bryan Brown	Dover	100 Free	126	100 Back	139	265
Sean Minderlein	Salesianum	200 Free	126	500 Free	137	263
Brad Brooks	Charter	200 Free	124	500 Free	125	249
Tim Stradley	A.I. duPont	50 Free	122	100 Free	126	248
Jack Reardon	A.I. duPont	50 Free	124	100 Free	122	246
Jordan Lingo	Milford	200 Free	118	500 Free	121	239
Tyler Beeson	Mt. Pleasant	50 Free	118	100 Free	121	239
Joseph Creekmore	Archmere	200 Free	122	500 Free	116	238
Matthew Tankle	Salesianum	200 Free	119	100 Free	117	236
Alan Panaccione	St. Mark's	200 IM	112	100 Back	122	234
Greg Miraglia	Wilmington Frien	1st place diver		No Second Event		N/A

2nd Team All State
Name	School	Event #1	Points #1	Event #2	Points #2	Total
Matthew Armiger	St. Mark's	200 Free	112	100 Free	121	233
Matt Jennings	A.I. duPont	200 IM	109	100 Breast	123	232
Alex Hampel	Salesianum	200 IM	118	500 Free	112	230
Bryan Panaccione	St. Mark's	100 Fly	113	100 Back	116	229
Adam Keup	Delaware Militar	200 IM	110	100 Fly	110	220
Zack Pryor	Salesianum	200 IM	89	100 Fly	113	202
Seth Kurz	Delaware Militar	200 IM	102	100 Breast	95	197
Dan Loa	Charter	200 IM	88	100 Breast	107	195
Nick Insley	Appoquinimink	100 Back	118	No Second Event		118
Toby Berry	Delaware Militar	50 Free	117	No Second Event		117
Sam Inden	Brandywine	50 Free	117	No Second Event		117
Andrew Welch	Glasgow	100 Back	113	No Second Event		113
Lee Mayer	Seaford	100 Free	113	No Second Event		113
Michael Wanner	Salesianum	50 Free	110	No Second Event		110
John Gravatt	Salesianum	2nd place diver		No Second Event		N/A

3rd Team All State
Name	School	Event #1	Points #1	Event #2	Points #2	Total
Robert Pagan	Charter	100 Fly	109	No Second Event		109
Tyler Coffing	Newark	50 Free	108	No Second Event		108
Nicholas Perkucin	Mt. Pleasant	500 Free	105	No Second Event		105
Cody Latchford	William Penn	100 Back	104	No Second Event		104
Eric Scheivert	Concord	100 Breast	103	No Second Event		103
Brent Hochstein	Salesianum	100 Breast	102	No Second Event		102
Chris Gardner	Charter	100 Back	101	No Second Event		101
John Sach	Lake Forest	100 Fly	93	No Second Event		93
Cody Quig	Salesianum	100 Fly	93	No Second Event		93
Matthew Stasiunas	Salesianum	500 Free	93	No Second Event		93
Christopher Barboun	Salesianum	100 Breast	88	No Second Event		88
John Tanjuakio	Charter	100 Fly	86	No Second Event		86
Zachary Brak	St. Andrews	100 Breast	82	No Second Event		82
Sam Dever	Charter	500 Free	77	No Second Event		77
Miles Comaskey	A.I. duPont	3rd place diver		No Second Event		N/A

Girls' All-State (based off power points):

1st Team All State
Name	School	Event #1	Points #1	Event #2	Points #2	Total
Kaitlyn Jones	Tatnall	200 IM	161	100 Back	157	318
Nicole Vernon	Tatnall	200 Free	150	500 Free	151	301
Annie Nunes	Charter	200 Free	136	100 Free	149	285
Katherine Rechsteiner	Charter	200 IM	120	100 Breast	161	281
Nicole Osman	Newark	200 IM	133	100 Fly	141	274
Calli Marando	Middletown	100 Fly	136	100 Breast	135	271
Kendall Towe	Sanford School	200 Free	134	500 Free	134	268
Haley Novak	St. Mark's	200 IM	127	100 Breast	136	263
Megan Northshield	Tatnall	100 Fly	133	500 Free	126	259
Alyssa Sanders	Milford	50 Free	129	100 Back	128	257
Shannon Foreman	Charter	50 Free	130	100 Free	127	257
Laura Askin	Caesar Rodney	200 Free	120	100 Free	123	243
Payton Shirey	Sussex Tech	50 Free	132	100 Free	110	242
Samantha Shelley	Padua	500 Free	115	100 Breast	125	240
Katie Lounsbury	Tatnall	1st place diver		No Second Event		N/A

2nd Team All State
Name	School	Event #1	Points #1	Event #2	Points #2	Total
Alexis Coon	Milford	200 IM	106	100 Breast	124	230
Meghan Lam	Tower Hill	200 IM	108	100 Back	121	229
Corinne Capodanno	Padua	50 Free	115	100 Free	111	226
Haley Arasim	Brandywine	100 Fly	113	100 Back	110	223
Lexi Santer	Charter	200 Free	108	500 Free	107	215
Kelly McKinley	Brandywine	100 Fly	108	100 Breast	106	214
Meghan Holliday	Charter	200 IM	109	500 Free	104	213
Jaclyn Harkins	St. Mark's	200 Free	105	500 Free	108	213
Brittany Lazear	Padua	200 Free	105	100 Back	102	207
Catharine Armiger	St. Mark's	200 Free	104	500 Free	101	205
Taylor Shelley	Padua	200 IM	86	100 Back	118	204
Mary Caitlin Samuels	Ursuline	100 Fly	118	No Second Event		118
Megan Blazovic	Padua	50 Free	115	No Second Event		115
Laura Jogani	Ursuline	100 Fly	113	No Second Event		113
Clare Thomas	Sussex Tech	100 Free	113	No Second Event		113
April Sun	Charter	100 Breast	113	No Second Event		113
Leah Hatkevich	A.I. duPont	2nd place diver		No Second Event		N/A

3rd Team All State
Name	School	Event #1	Points #1	Event #2	Points #2	Total
Caitlin Towe	Sanford School	100 Fly	112	No Second Event		112
Emily Kauffman	Newark	50 Free	106	No Second Event		106
Annie Walker	Charter	100 Back	106	No Second Event		106
Jordan Sawyer	Newark	50 Free	106	No Second Event		106
Angelina Corrado	Brandywine	100 Free	104	No Second Event		104
Denise Tankle	Archmere	100 Free	103	No Second Event		103
Erin Steffen	Padua	100 Breast	101	No Second Event		101
Alicia Howard	Charter	50 Free	100	No Second Event		100
Rachel Lynch	Charter	100 Back	99	No Second Event		99
Katie Parks	A.I. duPont	3rd place diver		No Second Event		N/A

More discussion to come later.

Waiting for Results

I haven't found any results yet for the meets today, unless I find something later, don't expect an update until tomorrow afternoon (if I'm lucky I'll get it in tomorrow morning). I hear that there were some really fast swims all day today, and at least a few records set throughout the day. More tomorrow...

Boys' Finals

Still waiting on any results for the earlier finals. Once I see them posted I will get them up here ASAP. From what I hear, at least a few records were set, and there was definitely some fast swimming. More in a bit...

Girls' Prelims **UPDATED**

From what I hear there was some fast swimming tonight at prelims: at least one broken record and a few others that could be broken on Saturday. I haven't seen results up on-line yet, but when I do, I will post them here along with team scores and All-State Predictions. Hopefully, I can get something up tomorrow morning, most likely around 11:00, so check back then for an update.

UPDATE:

Just got out of class for the morning, Girls' Results are here.

Score after prelims:

School	Points
1. Charter Sch of Wilm	360
2. Padua	244
3. St. Mark's	210
4. Tatnall	209
5. Brandywine	146.5
6. Newark	143
7. Milford	133
8. Sanford School	118
9. A.I. duPont	110
10. Ursuline	102

Also, All-State Prediction:

1st Team All State
Name	School	Event #1	Points #1	Event #2	Points #2	Total
Kaitlyn Jones	Tatnall	200 IM	137	100 Back	147	284
Nicole Vernon	Tatnall	200 Free	130	500 Free	136	266
Annie Nunes	Charter	200 Free	127	100 Free	135	262
Katherine Rechsteiner	Charter	200 IM	110	100 Breast	145	255
Calli Marando	Middletown	100 Fly	127	100 Breast	125	252
Nicole Osman	Newark	200 IM	118	100 Fly	130	248
Haley Novak	St. Mark's	200 IM	116	100 Breast	127	243
Megan Northshield	Tatnall	100 Fly	126	500 Free	116	242
Payton Shirey	Sussex Tech	50 Free	127	100 Free	114	241
Alyssa Sanders	Milford	50 Free	128	100 Back	113	241
Shannon Foreman	Charter	50 Free	120	100 Free	115	235
Samantha Shelley	Padua	500 Free	115	100 Breast	118	233
Kendall Towe	Sanford School	200 Free	116	500 Free	117	233
Meghan Lam	Tower Hill	200 IM	112	100 Back	121	233
Leah Hatkevich	A.I. duPont	1st place diver		No Second Event		N/A

2nd Team All State
Name	School	Event #1	Points #1	Event #2	Points #2	Total
Laura Askin	Caesar Rodney	200 Free	114	100 Free	118	232
Haley Arasim	Brandywine	100 Fly	119	100 Back	107	226
Alexis Coon	Milford	200 IM	102	100 Breast	124	226
Kelly McKinley	Brandywine	100 Fly	111	100 Breast	112	223
Corinne Capodanno	Padua	50 Free	113	100 Free	109	222
Jaclyn Harkins	St. Mark's	200 Free	108	500 Free	107	215
Catharine Armiger	St. Mark's	200 Free	107	500 Free	108	215
Brittany Lazear	Padua	200 Free	107	100 Back	106	213
Lexi Santer	Charter	200 Free	105	500 Free	106	211
Meghan Holliday	Charter	200 IM	103	500 Free	108	211
Taylor Shelley	Padua	200 IM	86	100 Back	111	197
Mary Caitlin Samuels	Ursuline	100 Fly	120	No Second Event		120
Laura Jogani	Ursuline	100 Fly	114	No Second Event		114
Megan Blazovic	Padua	50 Free	113	No Second Event		113
Katie Lounsbury	Tatnall	2nd place diver		No Second Event		N/A

3rd Team All State
Name	School	Event #1	Points #1	Event #2	Points #2	Total
April Sun	Charter	100 Breast	111	No Second Event		111
Caitlin Towe	Sanford School	100 Fly	110	No Second Event		110
Clare Thomas	Sussex Tech	100 Free	109	No Second Event		109
Emily Kauffman	Newark	50 Free	109	No Second Event		109
Jordan Sawyer	Newark	50 Free	107	No Second Event		107
Alicia Howard	Charter	50 Free	105	No Second Event		105
Annie Walker	Charter	100 Back	104	No Second Event		104
Angelina Corrado	Brandywine	100 Free	104	No Second Event		104
Denise Tankle	Archmere	100 Free	104	No Second Event		104
Erin Steffen	Padua	100 Breast	102	No Second Event		102
Rachel Lynch	Charter	100 Back	101	No Second Event		101
Katie Parks	A.I. duPont	3rd place diver		No Second Event		N/A

Also, Congrats to Charter's 200 Free Relay team on setting a new state record, with a time of 1:39.79.

A few other swimmers may have a chance with a good finals swim to set records, namely the 100 free and 100 breast, where Annie Nunes and Katie Rechsteiner sit about 1 second away from a record.

Good luck to everyone on Saturday, I will be at a club swim meet most of the day, so I'm not sure what sort of updates you can expect that day, but hopefully at very least, I'll be able to get information up by Sunday afternoon, and for all of you who got time off today for snow, hopefully you can get some well-earned rest and come back Saturday with fast times and a great meet.

Girls' Prelims to be Held as Scheduled

Sounds like everything is on for tonight.

Please drive carefully, and leave early to get to the meet.

Good luck to everyone, and have a safe day.

Taking a Statistical Look at Prelims

Going from last year to this year, first looking at the 8th/9th place cutoff times, there are only two events this year that were faster than last year's cutoffs: the 200 free and the 100 back. (To do this, I took the average of the 8th and 9th place times in 2009 and compared them with the average of the 8th and 9th place times of 2010; 9th place in the 100 Free was actually .04 seconds faster this year compared with last year, but otherwise both the 8th and the 9th place times were faster in the year with the faster 8th/9th average).
OK, now for the real "statistical" part...
I decided to run some hypothesis tests to try to first determine if, in fact, there was a significant difference between the results from 2009 and the results from 2010. To do this, I went event by event and took the average time, in seconds, of the top 16 finishers at prelims, then used Microsoft Excel to run a 2-sample t-test based on those two means from 2009 and 2010 in each event. Using a significance level of α=0.10 (such that each tail represents an area of 0.05). From here, I found that the 200 Medley Relay, 200 IM, 50 Free, 100 Fly, and 100 Breast all showed significant differences between 2009 and 2010. Furthermore, all of these events showed that at the α=.05 significance level, the times from 2010 were slower than 2009. The rest of the events, while showing some difference in the average, did not show any significant difference, per the 2-sample t-test. So, on the whole, based on this analysis, I would say that the prelims' results show this year to be somewhat slower than last year. Then again, I don't think many would argue that last year was a particularly fast year, just by the intuitive sense of the times. If you have any questions about this analysis, or would like additional information or other statistical tests, let me know, I have the data well-organized enough that I can work with you on that. Have a great night, and good luck to the girls, whenever they swim.

Prelims Results

Boys' Prelims results can be found here.

Unofficial "Standings" based on prelims points, I'll look to upload a score sheet like I had done prior to prelims, but for now, some scores based off of one of Bruce Deakyne's programs:

1. Salesianum	453
2. Charter Sch of Wilm	253
3. St. Mark's	203.5
4. A.I. duPont	197
5. Delaware Military	160
6. Brandywine	141
7. Seaford	113
8. St. Andrews	107

Looks like A.I. is facing an uphill battle without some of its key swimmers. DMA, having been disqualified in the Medley Relay, an event they were seeded third in, misses out on a lot of points, and could have missed their chance to contend for third place. For now, the list only includes teams above 100 points, and I will be running a check of it soon. Also, All-State Predictions, now much more accurate, since we at least know who will have a chance to score for all-state power points (only the top 8):

1st Team All State
Name	School	Event #1	Points #1	Event #2	Points #2	Total
Tanner Kurz	Delaware Militar	50 Free	143	100 Back	141	284
Clifton Gordon	Salesianum	200 Free	130	100 Fly	142	272
Bryan Brown	Dover	100 Free	133	100 Back	137	270
Eric Materniak	Tatnall	200 IM	136	100 Breast	133	269
Brad Brooks	Charter	200 Free	120	500 Free	131	251
Tommy McKee	Brandywine	200 Free	125	100 Free	123	248
Tim Stradley	A.I. duPont	50 Free	122	100 Free	123	245
Sean Minderlein	Salesianum	200 Free	118	500 Free	125	243
Tyler Beeson	Mt. Pleasant	50 Free	119	100 Free	120	239
Matthew Tankle	Salesianum	200 Free	120	100 Free	119	239
Matthew Armiger	St. Mark's	200 Free	118	100 Free	119	237
Jack Reardon	A.I. duPont	50 Free	118	100 Free	117	235
Matt Jennings	A.I. duPont	200 IM	111	100 Breast	124	235
Alan Panaccione	St. Mark's	200 IM	108	100 Back	126	234
Greg Miraglia	Wilmington Frien	1st place diver		No Second Event		N/A

2nd Team All State
Name	School	Event #1	Points #1	Event #2	Points #2	Total
Bryan Panaccione	St. Mark's	100 Fly	114	100 Back	117	231
Jordan Lingo	Milford	200 Free	114	500 Free	111	225
Alex Hampel	Salesianum	200 IM	111	500 Free	109	220
Joseph Creekmore	Archmere	200 Free	111	500 Free	101	212
Adam Keup	Delaware Militar	200 IM	105	100 Fly	103	208
Zack Pryor	Salesianum	200 IM	91	100 Fly	114	205
Dan Loa	Charter	200 IM	95	100 Breast	108	203
Seth Kurz	Delaware Militar	200 IM	97	100 Breast	103	200
Toby Berry	Delaware Militar	50 Free	117	No Second Event		117
Nicholas Perkucin	Mt. Pleasant	500 Free	112	No Second Event		112
Tyler Coffing	Newark	50 Free	112	No Second Event		112
Andrew Welch	Glasgow	100 Back	112	No Second Event		112
Michael Wanner	Salesianum	50 Free	112	No Second Event		112
Sam Inden	Brandywine	50 Free	111	No Second Event		111
John Gravatt	Salesianum	2nd place diver		No Second Event		N/A

3rd Team All State
Name	School	Event #1	Points #1	Event #2	Points #2	Total
Lee Mayer	Seaford	100 Free	110	No Second Event		110
Robert Pagan	Charter	100 Fly	109	No Second Event		109
Nick Insley	Appoquinimink	100 Back	106	No Second Event		106
Cody Latchford	William Penn	100 Back	105	No Second Event		105
Chris Gardner	Charter	100 Back	103	No Second Event		103
Eric Scheivert	Concord	100 Breast	102	No Second Event		102
Matthew Stasiunas	Salesianum	500 Free	101	No Second Event		101
Sam Dever	Charter	500 Free	99	No Second Event		99
John Sach	Lake Forest	100 Fly	95	No Second Event		95
Brent Hochstein	Salesianum	100 Breast	95	No Second Event		95
Cody Quig	Salesianum	100 Fly	92	No Second Event		92
John Tanjuakio	Charter	100 Fly	91	No Second Event		91
Zachary Brak	St. Andrews	100 Breast	90	No Second Event		90
Christopher Barboun	Salesianum	100 Breast	87	No Second Event		87
Miles Comaskey	A.I. duPont	3rd place diver		No Second Event		N/A

Keep in mind, of course, that these results can still fluctuate greatly, some swimmers go much faster in finals than in prelims, so times, and therefore power points can vary a lot.

A few things I noticed while glancing through the results:
No records set tonight, but the 50 Free record looks to have a chance to fall. A few other prelims times were relatively close to records, but nowhere near as close to the few tenths of a second in the 50 free. Possibly one of the more interesting events was the 500 free. The top 8 ranged from 4:39 up to 5:01, then 9th place was 5:15. That is quite a disparity between two places, and really at an interesting spot for it to happen, separating the consolation heat from the final heat. Not sure how the times compare to last year yet, I am working on running a statistical analysis on them, once I'm happy with the way that looks I'll publish it here, probably some time tomorrow afternoon. Of course, I wasn't there to watch the meet this year (I don't remember the last state meet I missed, it's been a long time now), so if anyone saw anything interesting, or has any relevant comments or questions, please feel free to post them here or on the Facebook page.

Also, if anyone hears anything about the status of the meet tomorrow before I do, please let me know, I'd be glad to post any changes on the blog.